UFC Fight Night · Middleweight · APEX
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan
October 10, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Brendan Allen
27-7 · Orthodox
vs
Christian Leroy Duncan
15-2 · Switch
🔒
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🤖 The AI field reports during fight week, before the card locks. Check back then.
How Allen vs Duncan is likely to end
🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with ProBrendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan tale of the tape
75"
Reach
79"
30
Age
31
3.75
SLpM
4.45
52%
Str. Acc.
57%
3.78
SApM
2.36
47%
Str. Def.
54%
1.52
TD Avg.
0.43
57%
TD Def.
57%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with ProBrendan Allen and Christian Leroy Duncan by the numbers
Brendan Allen
finishes 41% · finished 12% (17 fights)
Vs southpaws
100%
(8-0)
With a reach advantage
100%
(6-0)
In 5-round fights
100%
(4-0)
As the rating favorite
89%
(8-1)
Christian Leroy Duncan
finishes 50% · finished 0% (10 fights)
Vs southpaws
100%
(2-0)
As the rating favorite
86%
(6-1)
With a reach advantage
80%
(8-2)
In the small (APEX) cage
80%
(4-1)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan: your questions
- When is Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan and what weight class is it?
- Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan is a Middleweight bout at UFC Fight Night, October 10, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.
- How is Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan likely to end?
- We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.