predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Bill Algeo
18-9 · Switch
vs
TJ Brown
17-11 · Switch
Featherweight
Result
Bill Algeo def.
SUB · R2 1:40
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
72"
37
Age
36
5.88
SLpM
3.37
51%
Str. Acc.
44%
4.38
SApM
2.89
47%
Str. Def.
49%
1.03
TD Avg.
3.41
55%
TD Def.
36%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
1.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge TJ Brown
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Bill Algeo
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Bill Algeo
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
By the Numbers
Bill Algeo finishes 20% · finished 20% (10 fights)
As the rating underdog 80% (4-1)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
When older than opponent 50% (4-4)
With a reach advantage 50% (4-4)
TJ Brown finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (3-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.