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Lightweight
Result
Rafa Garcia def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
70"
31
Age
44
4.28
SLpM
2.63
44%
Str. Acc.
33%
4.42
SApM
3.00
61%
Str. Def.
61%
3.22
TD Avg.
3.10
77%
TD Def.
66%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.60
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Rafa Garcia
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Rafa Garcia
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Rafa Garcia
finishes 18% · finished 9% (11 fights)
Vs orthodox
71%
(5-2)
When younger than opponent
67%
(6-3)
As the rating favorite
67%
(2-1)
Vs southpaws
67%
(2-1)
Clay Guida
finishes 13% · finished 25% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite
50%
(2-2)
Vs orthodox
50%
(2-2)
With a reach advantage
50%
(1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage
50%
(2-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.