predicted sports
← UFC 287
Kevin Holland
29-15 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Santiago Ponzinibbio
31-9 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Kevin Holland def.
KO/TKO · R3 3:16
Tale of the Tape
81"
Reach
73"
33
Age
39
4.24
SLpM
4.78
49%
Str. Acc.
41%
3.21
SApM
4.68
50%
Str. Def.
61%
0.79
TD Avg.
0.60
57%
TD Def.
71%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Kevin Holland
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Kevin Holland
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Kevin Holland
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Kevin Holland finishes 41% · finished 18% (22 fights)
Vs orthodox 64% (7-4)
When younger than opponent 59% (10-7)
As the rating underdog 58% (7-5)
With a reach advantage 55% (12-10)
Santiago Ponzinibbio finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 43% (3-4)
Giving up reach 40% (2-3)
When older than opponent 38% (3-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.