predicted sports
← UFC 287
Gilbert Burns
22-10 · Orthodox
vs
Jorge Masvidal
35-17 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Gilbert Burns def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
74"
39
Age
41
3.16
SLpM
4.05
48%
Str. Acc.
47%
3.68
SApM
3.05
52%
Str. Def.
64%
2.04
TD Avg.
1.38
53%
TD Def.
72%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Gilbert Burns
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Jorge Masvidal
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Gilbert Burns
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Gilbert Burns finishes 10% · finished 40% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 38% (3-5)
Giving up reach 30% (3-7)
As the rating underdog 22% (2-7)
Jorge Masvidal finishes 0% · finished 25% (4 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-4)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-4)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-2)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.