predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Daniel Pineda
28-17 (3 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Tucker Lutz
12-4 · Orthodox
Featherweight
Result
Daniel Pineda def.
SUB · R2 2:50
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
72"
40
Age
31
2.85
SLpM
3.74
49%
Str. Acc.
46%
3.26
SApM
3.25
45%
Str. Def.
44%
1.42
TD Avg.
1.99
54%
TD Def.
69%
1.50
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Tucker Lutz
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Tucker Lutz
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Daniel Pineda
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
By the Numbers
Daniel Pineda finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
Vs orthodox 40% (2-3)
Giving up reach 40% (2-3)
Tucker Lutz finishes 0% · finished 25% (4 fights)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
When younger than opponent 25% (1-3)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.