predicted sports
← UFC 286
Jake Hadley
11-4 · Southpaw
vs
Malcolm Gordon
14-8 · Switch
Flyweight
Result
Jake Hadley def.
KO/TKO · R1 1:01
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
71"
29
Age
36
3.80
SLpM
2.50
43%
Str. Acc.
45%
4.16
SApM
2.00
61%
Str. Def.
43%
0.33
TD Avg.
1.72
54%
TD Def.
26%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
1.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Jake Hadley
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Malcolm Gordon
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Jake Hadley
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Jake Hadley finishes 29% · finished 0% (7 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 50% (3-3)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 40% (2-3)
Malcolm Gordon finishes 14% · finished 71% (7 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 40% (2-3)
Vs southpaws 33% (1-2)
With a reach advantage 33% (2-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.