predicted sports
← UFC 286
Muhammad Mokaev
13-0 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Jafel Filho
17-5 · Orthodox
Flyweight
Result
Muhammad Mokaev def.
SUB · R3 4:32
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
68"
25
Age
33
1.61
SLpM
1.78
45%
Str. Acc.
40%
1.35
SApM
1.76
57%
Str. Def.
50%
5.29
TD Avg.
2.40
25%
TD Def.
50%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
1.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Muhammad Mokaev
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Muhammad Mokaev
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Muhammad Mokaev
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Muhammad Mokaev finishes 57% · finished 0% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (7-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (7-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (3-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (2-0)
Jafel Filho finishes 50% · finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 50% (2-2)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.