← UFC 286
Lightweight
Result
Yanal Ashmouz def.
KO/TKO · R1 1:15
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
78"
31
Age
30
2.88
SLpM
2.62
50%
Str. Acc.
37%
4.78
SApM
3.06
50%
Str. Def.
50%
3.24
TD Avg.
0.82
64%
TD Def.
33%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
1.60
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Sam Patterson
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Sam Patterson
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Sam Patterson
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Yanal Ashmouz
finishes 25% · finished 0% (4 fights)
As the rating underdog
100%
(2-0)
When younger than opponent
50%
(1-1)
When older than opponent
50%
(1-1)
Giving up reach
50%
(2-2)
Sam Patterson
finishes 67% · finished 17% (6 fights)
With a reach advantage
75%
(3-1)
When younger than opponent
67%
(4-2)
Vs orthodox
67%
(2-1)
As the rating underdog
60%
(3-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.