← UFC 286
Welterweight
Result
Gunnar Nelson def.
SUB · R1 4:51
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
72"
37
Age
37
1.77
SLpM
5.35
61%
Str. Acc.
48%
3.06
SApM
4.59
48%
Str. Def.
44%
2.00
TD Avg.
0.13
68%
TD Def.
50%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.30
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Bryan Barberena
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Gunnar Nelson
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Gunnar Nelson
finishes 33% · finished 0% (3 fights)
Vs southpaws
100%
(2-0)
When older than opponent
67%
(2-1)
As the rating favorite
50%
(1-1)
Giving up reach
50%
(1-1)
Bryan Barberena
finishes 11% · finished 33% (9 fights)
When older than opponent
67%
(2-1)
As the rating underdog
67%
(2-1)
Vs orthodox
60%
(3-2)
Giving up reach
60%
(3-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.