predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Josh Fremd
11-6 · Orthodox
vs
Sedriques Dumas
10-5 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Middleweight · APEX cage
Result
Josh Fremd def.
SUB · R2 3:00
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
79"
32
Age
30
2.52
SLpM
1.97
44%
Str. Acc.
44%
2.23
SApM
2.64
47%
Str. Def.
53%
0.66
TD Avg.
1.30
30%
TD Def.
33%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Sedriques Dumas
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Sedriques Dumas
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Josh Fremd
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Josh Fremd finishes 17% · finished 33% (6 fights)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 67% (2-1)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Sedriques Dumas finishes 0% · finished 63% (8 fights)
Vs orthodox 60% (3-2)
When younger than opponent 50% (3-3)
As the rating favorite 40% (2-3)
With a reach advantage 38% (3-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.