predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Nikita Krylov
31-11 · Orthodox
vs
Ryan Spann
24-11 · Orthodox
Catch Weight · APEX cage
Result
Nikita Krylov def.
SUB · R1 3:38
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
79"
34
Age
34
4.36
SLpM
3.11
54%
Str. Acc.
39%
2.59
SApM
3.92
47%
Str. Def.
43%
2.05
TD Avg.
1.21
53%
TD Def.
59%
1.20
Sub. Avg.
1.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge Nikita Krylov
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins across the UFC
2,686 fights · edge Ryan Spann
59%
the rating favorite wins across the UFC
2,745 fights · edge Nikita Krylov
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Nikita Krylov finishes 38% · finished 38% (8 fights)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (3-3)
Ryan Spann finishes 50% · finished 42% (12 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 71% (5-2)
When younger than opponent 67% (4-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (5-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.