UFC Fight Night · Lightweight · APEX
Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener
September 26, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
AI consensus
Elves Brener
9/9
🔥 Pro Edge Detected
3 algorithmic edges active on this matchup
Locked for Pro
Our automated weekly sweep of the AI forecasting record flagged high-conviction positive-EV rules on this game.
The DeepSeek Distance
+14.5% ROI
🔒 [Selection Locked]
The Unanimous Distance
+21.8% ROI
🔒 [Selection Locked]
GPT-5.6 High Confidence
+-5.6% ROI
🔒 [Selection Locked]
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Start 7-day free trialWhat the AI models predict for Harrell vs Brener
The AI Index →
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Winner
E. Brener 🔒
Method
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Gemini 3.5 Flash
Winner
E. Brener 🔒
Method
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Gemini 3.7 Flash
Winner
E. Brener 🔒
Method
🔒
Grok 4.5
Winner
E. Brener 🔒
Method
🔒
GPT-5.6 Luna Pro
Winner
E. Brener 🔒
Method
🔒
GLM 5.3
Winner
E. Brener 🔒
Method
🔒
GLM 5.2
Winner
E. Brener 🔒
Method
🔒
Claude Opus 5
Winner
E. Brener 🔒
Method
🔒
Claude Sonnet 5
Winner
E. Brener 🔒
Method
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Every model gets the identical line-blind fight packet, no odds, no search. Winner picks are free; each model's confidence and method call are Pro. Upgrade for confidence.
How Harrell vs Brener is likely to end
🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with ProJosiah Harrell vs Elves Brener tale of the tape
68"
Reach
72"
27
Age
28
2.32
SLpM
4.76
50%
Str. Acc.
47%
10.94
SApM
5.86
29%
Str. Def.
50%
0.00
TD Avg.
0.99
0%
TD Def.
76%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with ProJosiah Harrell and Elves Brener by the numbers
Elves Brener
finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
As the rating favorite
67%
(2-1)
When younger than opponent
60%
(3-2)
Vs orthodox
50%
(3-3)
With a reach advantage
50%
(1-1)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.
Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener: your questions
- Who is favored to win Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener?
- 9 of 9 AI models pick Elves Brener to beat Josiah Harrell. Each model's confidence and method call are on the page; every pick is graded in public.
- When is Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener and what weight class is it?
- Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener is a Lightweight bout at UFC Fight Night, September 26, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.
- How is Josiah Harrell vs Elves Brener likely to end?
- We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.