UFC Fight Night · Bantamweight · APEX
John Castaneda vs Alatengheili
September 26, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
AI consensus
John Castaneda
9/9
🔥 Pro Edge Detected
2 algorithmic edges active on this matchup
Locked for Pro
Our automated weekly sweep of the AI forecasting record flagged high-conviction positive-EV rules on this game.
The DeepSeek Distance
+14.5% ROI
🔒 [Selection Locked]
The Unanimous Distance
+21.8% ROI
🔒 [Selection Locked]
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Start 7-day free trialWhat the AI models predict for Castaneda vs Alatengheili
The AI Index →
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Winner
J. Castaneda 🔒
Method
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Claude Opus 5
Winner
J. Castaneda 🔒
Method
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Gemini 3.5 Flash
Winner
J. Castaneda 🔒
Method
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Gemini 3.7 Flash
Winner
J. Castaneda 🔒
Method
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GLM 5.2
Winner
J. Castaneda 🔒
Method
🔒
Claude Sonnet 5
Winner
J. Castaneda 🔒
Method
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Grok 4.5
Winner
J. Castaneda 🔒
Method
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GPT-5.6 Luna Pro
Winner
J. Castaneda 🔒
Method
🔒
GLM 5.3
Winner
J. Castaneda 🔒
Method
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Every model gets the identical line-blind fight packet, no odds, no search. Winner picks are free; each model's confidence and method call are Pro. Upgrade for confidence.
How Castaneda vs Alatengheili is likely to end
🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with ProJohn Castaneda vs Alatengheili tale of the tape
71"
Reach
66"
34
Age
34
4.95
SLpM
2.82
51%
Str. Acc.
32%
5.07
SApM
5.12
54%
Str. Def.
57%
1.49
TD Avg.
1.74
75%
TD Def.
75%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with ProJohn Castaneda and Alatengheili by the numbers
John Castaneda
finishes 25% · finished 13% (8 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage
75%
(3-1)
When younger than opponent
67%
(2-1)
As the rating underdog
60%
(3-2)
Vs orthodox
50%
(4-4)
Alatengheili
finishes 17% · finished 0% (6 fights)
As the rating favorite
100%
(2-0)
Vs orthodox
75%
(3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage
67%
(2-1)
When younger than opponent
50%
(2-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.
John Castaneda vs Alatengheili: your questions
- Who is favored to win John Castaneda vs Alatengheili?
- 9 of 9 AI models pick John Castaneda to beat Alatengheili. Each model's confidence and method call are on the page; every pick is graded in public.
- When is John Castaneda vs Alatengheili and what weight class is it?
- John Castaneda vs Alatengheili is a Bantamweight bout at UFC Fight Night, September 26, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.
- How is John Castaneda vs Alatengheili likely to end?
- We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.