Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura Prediction & Pick (UFC Fight Night) | Predicted Sports
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UFC Fight Night · Bantamweight · APEX

Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura

September 26, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

BH
Brady Hiestand
9-2 · Orthodox
vs
RN
Rinya Nakamura
10-1 · Southpaw
AI consensus Rinya Nakamura 9/9
🔥 Pro Edge Detected 1 algorithmic edge active on this matchup
Locked for Pro

Our automated weekly sweep of the AI forecasting record flagged high-conviction positive-EV rules on this game.

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What the AI models predict for Hiestand vs Nakamura

The AI Index →
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Winner
R. Nakamura 🔒
Method
🔒
Gemini 3.5 Flash
Winner
R. Nakamura 🔒
Method
🔒
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Winner
R. Nakamura 🔒
Method
🔒
Claude Opus 5
Winner
R. Nakamura 🔒
Method
🔒
GLM 5.3
Winner
R. Nakamura 🔒
Method
🔒
Grok 4.5
Winner
R. Nakamura 🔒
Method
🔒
GPT-5.6 Luna Pro
Winner
R. Nakamura 🔒
Method
🔒
Claude Sonnet 5
Winner
R. Nakamura 🔒
Method
🔒
GLM 5.2
Winner
R. Nakamura 🔒
Method
🔒

Every model gets the identical line-blind fight packet, no odds, no search. Winner picks are free; each model's confidence and method call are Pro. Upgrade for confidence.

How Hiestand vs Nakamura is likely to end

🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro

Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura tale of the tape

71"
Reach
68"
27
Age
31
2.70
SLpM
3.27
50%
Str. Acc.
52%
3.75
SApM
1.72
51%
Str. Def.
63%
4.80
TD Avg.
2.58
42%
TD Def.
100%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
1.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

Brady Hiestand and Rinya Nakamura by the numbers

Brady Hiestand finishes 50% · finished 0% (4 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 75% (3-1)
Rinya Nakamura finishes 40% · finished 0% (5 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 80% (4-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura: your questions

Who is favored to win Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura?
9 of 9 AI models pick Rinya Nakamura to beat Brady Hiestand. Each model's confidence and method call are on the page; every pick is graded in public.
When is Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura and what weight class is it?
Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura is a Bantamweight bout at UFC Fight Night, September 26, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.
How is Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura likely to end?
We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.