Who is favored to win Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano?

8 of 8 AI models pick Daniil Donchenko to beat Punahele Soriano. Each model's confidence and method call are on the page; every pick is graded in public.

When is Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano and what weight class is it?

Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano is a Welterweight bout at UFC Fight Night, September 5, 2026 in Paris, Ile-de-France, France.

How is Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano likely to end?

We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.

Pick Board Rankings Divisions Fighters Answers

UFC Fight Night · Welterweight

Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano

September 5, 2026 · Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Daniil Donchenko

15-2 · Orthodox

Punahele Soriano

13-4 · Southpaw

AI consensus Daniil Donchenko 8/8

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What the AI models predict for Donchenko vs Soriano

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DeepSeek V4 Pro

Winner

D. Donchenko 🔒

Method

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Claude Opus 5

Winner

D. Donchenko 🔒

Method

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Claude Sonnet 5

Winner

D. Donchenko 🔒

Method

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Gemini 3.5 Flash

Winner

D. Donchenko 🔒

Method

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Grok 4.5

Winner

D. Donchenko 🔒

Method

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Gemini 3.7 Flash

Winner

D. Donchenko 🔒

Method

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GPT-5.6 Luna Pro

Winner

D. Donchenko 🔒

Method

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GLM 5.2

Winner

D. Donchenko 🔒

Method

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Every model gets the identical line-blind fight packet, no odds, no search. Winner picks are free; each model's confidence and method call are Pro. Upgrade for confidence.

How Donchenko vs Soriano is likely to end

🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro

Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano tale of the tape

71"

Reach

72"

Age

8.07

SLpM

4.42

62%

Str. Acc.

53%

2.80

SApM

3.31

70%

Str. Def.

47%

0.58

TD Avg.

1.97

75%

TD Def.

48%

0.00

Sub. Avg.

0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

Daniil Donchenko and Punahele Soriano by the numbers

Daniil Donchenko finishes 67% · finished 0% (3 fights)

When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)

As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)

Vs orthodox 100% (2-0)

Giving up reach 100% (2-0)

Punahele Soriano finishes 30% · finished 20% (10 fights)

As the rating underdog 80% (4-1)

Vs orthodox 71% (5-2)

When younger than opponent 67% (4-2)

When older than opponent 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano: your questions

Who is favored to win Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano?: 8 of 8 AI models pick Daniil Donchenko to beat Punahele Soriano. Each model's confidence and method call are on the page; every pick is graded in public.
When is Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano and what weight class is it?: Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano is a Welterweight bout at UFC Fight Night, September 5, 2026 in Paris, Ile-de-France, France.
How is Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano likely to end?: We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.