predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Joe Solecki
13-6 · Orthodox
vs
Carl Deaton
17-7 (2 NC) · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Joe Solecki def.
SUB · R2 4:55
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
69"
32
Age
36
1.97
SLpM
1.53
53%
Str. Acc.
31%
1.85
SApM
1.85
50%
Str. Def.
61%
2.06
TD Avg.
0.00
14%
TD Def.
50%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Joe Solecki
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Joe Solecki
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Joe Solecki
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Joe Solecki finishes 25% · finished 13% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (4-2)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
Giving up reach 60% (3-2)
Carl Deaton finishes 0% · finished 50% (2 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-2)
Giving up reach 0% (0-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.