predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
AJ Fletcher
10-3 · Switch
vs
Themba Gorimbo
14-7 · Orthodox
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
AJ Fletcher def.
SUB · R2 1:37
Tale of the Tape
67"
Reach
77"
29
Age
35
3.36
SLpM
2.70
49%
Str. Acc.
56%
4.61
SApM
1.75
46%
Str. Def.
51%
1.54
TD Avg.
4.52
33%
TD Def.
73%
0.90
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge AJ Fletcher
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Themba Gorimbo
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Themba Gorimbo
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
AJ Fletcher finishes 25% · finished 25% (4 fights)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (1-2)
When younger than opponent 25% (1-3)
Themba Gorimbo finishes 13% · finished 25% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 67% (2-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (4-2)
With a reach advantage 57% (4-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.