predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Alexander Hernandez
18-9 · Orthodox
vs
Jim Miller
39-19 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Alexander Hernandez def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
71"
33
Age
42
4.23
SLpM
2.92
40%
Str. Acc.
42%
4.45
SApM
3.43
59%
Str. Def.
56%
1.05
TD Avg.
1.49
68%
TD Def.
47%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
1.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Alexander Hernandez
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Alexander Hernandez
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Jim Miller
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Alexander Hernandez finishes 31% · finished 15% (13 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 60% (6-4)
As the rating underdog 57% (4-3)
Jim Miller finishes 58% · finished 0% (12 fights)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (4-2)
When older than opponent 60% (6-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.