predicted sports
← UFC 284
Jamie Mullarkey
18-9 · Orthodox
vs
Francisco Prado
12-5 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Jamie Mullarkey def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
69"
31
Age
24
4.10
SLpM
3.68
46%
Str. Acc.
43%
4.28
SApM
4.31
54%
Str. Def.
54%
2.46
TD Avg.
0.76
70%
TD Def.
40%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Francisco Prado
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Jamie Mullarkey
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Jamie Mullarkey
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Jamie Mullarkey finishes 17% · finished 42% (12 fights)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 63% (5-3)
With a reach advantage 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 56% (5-4)
Francisco Prado finishes 17% · finished 0% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog 20% (1-4)
When younger than opponent 17% (1-5)
Giving up reach 17% (1-5)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.