predicted sports
← UFC 284
Justin Tafa
7-5 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Parker Porter
14-9 · Orthodox
Heavyweight
Result
Justin Tafa def.
KO/TKO · R1 1:06
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
75"
32
Age
41
4.05
SLpM
6.55
54%
Str. Acc.
50%
5.11
SApM
6.32
47%
Str. Def.
51%
0.00
TD Avg.
1.35
53%
TD Def.
66%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Justin Tafa
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Parker Porter
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Justin Tafa
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Justin Tafa finishes 43% · finished 14% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 43% (3-4)
Giving up reach 43% (3-4)
Parker Porter finishes 13% · finished 50% (8 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 57% (4-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.