predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Rinya Nakamura
10-1 · Southpaw
vs
Toshiomi Kazama
11-5 · Orthodox
Bantamweight · Title · APEX cage
Result
Rinya Nakamura def.
KO/TKO · R1 0:33
Tale of the Tape
68"
Reach
69"
31
Age
29
3.27
SLpM
1.49
52%
Str. Acc.
53%
1.72
SApM
4.56
63%
Str. Def.
38%
2.58
TD Avg.
1.94
100%
TD Def.
66%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
1.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Toshiomi Kazama
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Toshiomi Kazama
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Rinya Nakamura
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Rinya Nakamura finishes 40% · finished 0% (5 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 80% (4-1)
Toshiomi Kazama finishes 25% · finished 75% (4 fights)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.