predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Khamzat Chimaev
15-1 · Orthodox
vs
Gerald Meerschaert
37-22 · Southpaw
Middleweight · APEX cage
Result
Khamzat Chimaev def.
KO/TKO · R1 0:17
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
77"
32
Age
38
4.01
SLpM
2.95
54%
Str. Acc.
45%
2.98
SApM
3.44
52%
Str. Def.
53%
5.32
TD Avg.
1.70
87%
TD Def.
40%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
1.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Khamzat Chimaev
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Gerald Meerschaert
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Khamzat Chimaev
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Khamzat Chimaev finishes 60% · finished 0% (10 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 89% (8-1)
Gerald Meerschaert finishes 40% · finished 33% (15 fights)
Vs orthodox 56% (5-4)
In the small (APEX) cage 56% (5-4)
As the rating favorite 50% (4-4)
With a reach advantage 46% (6-7)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.