predicted sports
← UFC 283
Ismael Bonfim
20-6 · Orthodox
vs
Terrance McKinney
18-8 · Switch
Lightweight
Result
Ismael Bonfim def.
KO/TKO · R2 2:17
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
73"
30
Age
31
5.51
SLpM
6.53
54%
Str. Acc.
55%
3.71
SApM
3.45
65%
Str. Def.
43%
1.06
TD Avg.
3.31
76%
TD Def.
72%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
2.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Ismael Bonfim
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Terrance McKinney
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Terrance McKinney
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Ismael Bonfim finishes 20% · finished 60% (5 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 50% (2-2)
When younger than opponent 40% (2-3)
Terrance McKinney finishes 62% · finished 38% (13 fights)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 70% (7-3)
When younger than opponent 67% (6-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (4-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.