← UFC 283
Lightweight
Result
Thiago Moises def.
SUB · R2 4:05
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
71"
31
Age
29
2.52
SLpM
4.29
42%
Str. Acc.
47%
4.40
SApM
3.19
52%
Str. Def.
50%
1.37
TD Avg.
1.53
52%
TD Def.
50%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.80
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Melquizael Costa
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Melquizael Costa
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Melquizael Costa
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Thiago Moises
finishes 25% · finished 33% (12 fights)
As the rating favorite
67%
(4-2)
Giving up reach
67%
(6-3)
Vs orthodox
63%
(5-3)
In the small (APEX) cage
63%
(5-3)
Melquizael Costa
finishes 40% · finished 20% (10 fights)
Vs orthodox
86%
(6-1)
As the rating favorite
75%
(3-1)
When younger than opponent
67%
(6-3)
As the rating underdog
67%
(4-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.