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๐ค The AI field reports during fight week, before the card locks. Check back then.
How Garcia vs Rongzhu is likely to end
๐ KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with ProRafa Garcia vs Rongzhu tale of the tape
70"
Reach
70"
32
Age
26
4.28
SLpM
6.05
44%
Str. Acc.
51%
4.42
SApM
5.38
61%
Str. Def.
53%
3.22
TD Avg.
1.34
77%
TD Def.
84%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.10
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
๐ League trends for this matchup profile with ProRafa Garcia and Rongzhu by the numbers
Rafa Garcia
finishes 18% ยท finished 9% (11 fights)
Vs orthodox
71%
(5-2)
When younger than opponent
67%
(6-3)
As the rating favorite
67%
(2-1)
Vs southpaws
67%
(2-1)
Rongzhu
finishes 17% ยท finished 33% (6 fights)
When younger than opponent
50%
(3-3)
Vs orthodox
50%
(2-2)
Giving up reach
50%
(3-3)
As the rating underdog
40%
(2-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.
Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu: your questions
- When is Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu and what weight class is it?
- Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu is a Lightweight bout at Noche UFC, September 12, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona, USA.
- How is Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu likely to end?
- We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.