predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Umar Nurmagomedov
20-1 · Orthodox
vs
Raoni Barcelos
22-5 · Orthodox
Bantamweight · APEX cage
Result
Umar Nurmagomedov def.
KO/TKO · R1 4:40
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
67"
30
Age
39
3.86
SLpM
4.65
56%
Str. Acc.
51%
1.86
SApM
4.24
61%
Str. Def.
60%
4.03
TD Avg.
2.51
79%
TD Def.
87%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Umar Nurmagomedov
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Umar Nurmagomedov
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Umar Nurmagomedov
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Umar Nurmagomedov finishes 33% · finished 0% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 88% (7-1)
Raoni Barcelos finishes 9% · finished 9% (11 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
Giving up reach 67% (6-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (4-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.