predicted sports
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Alex Caceres
21-15 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Julian Erosa
31-14 · Southpaw
Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
Alex Caceres def.
KO/TKO · R1 3:04
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
74"
38
Age
36
4.21
SLpM
6.18
49%
Str. Acc.
48%
3.09
SApM
6.31
62%
Str. Def.
48%
0.54
TD Avg.
1.73
64%
TD Def.
61%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Julian Erosa
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Julian Erosa
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Alex Caceres
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Alex Caceres finishes 38% · finished 0% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
Julian Erosa finishes 46% · finished 31% (13 fights)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 70% (7-3)
With a reach advantage 70% (7-3)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.