predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Amir Albazi
17-3 · Orthodox
vs
Alessandro Costa
16-5 · Orthodox
Flyweight · APEX cage
Result
Amir Albazi def.
KO/TKO · R3 2:13
Tale of the Tape
68"
Reach
67"
32
Age
30
2.47
SLpM
3.86
33%
Str. Acc.
46%
3.88
SApM
3.70
59%
Str. Def.
56%
1.18
TD Avg.
0.77
62%
TD Def.
86%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Alessandro Costa
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Amir Albazi
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Amir Albazi
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Amir Albazi finishes 43% · finished 0% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (4-2)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 67% (2-1)
Alessandro Costa finishes 57% · finished 29% (7 fights)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 60% (3-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.