predicted sports
← UFC 282
Chris Curtis
32-13 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Joaquin Buckley
21-8 · Southpaw
Middleweight
Result
Chris Curtis def.
KO/TKO · R2 2:49
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
76"
38
Age
32
5.52
SLpM
3.62
50%
Str. Acc.
36%
5.75
SApM
3.10
54%
Str. Def.
58%
0.00
TD Avg.
1.43
64%
TD Def.
70%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Joaquin Buckley
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Joaquin Buckley
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Joaquin Buckley
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Chris Curtis finishes 27% · finished 9% (11 fights)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 63% (5-3)
Vs orthodox 63% (5-3)
When older than opponent 50% (5-5)
Joaquin Buckley finishes 47% · finished 18% (17 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 70% (7-3)
With a reach advantage 69% (9-4)
When younger than opponent 69% (11-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.