predicted sports
← UFC 282
Santiago Ponzinibbio
31-9 · Orthodox
vs
Alex Morono
24-13 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Catch Weight
Result
Santiago Ponzinibbio def.
KO/TKO · R3 2:29
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
72"
39
Age
35
4.78
SLpM
4.90
41%
Str. Acc.
39%
4.68
SApM
4.88
61%
Str. Def.
55%
0.60
TD Avg.
0.32
71%
TD Def.
47%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge Alex Morono
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins across the UFC
2,686 fights · edge Santiago Ponzinibbio
59%
the rating favorite wins across the UFC
2,745 fights · edge Santiago Ponzinibbio
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
By the Numbers
Santiago Ponzinibbio finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 43% (3-4)
Giving up reach 40% (2-3)
When older than opponent 38% (3-5)
Alex Morono finishes 14% · finished 14% (14 fights)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 58% (7-5)
In the small (APEX) cage 56% (5-4)
When younger than opponent 50% (4-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.