predicted sports
← UFC 282
Paddy Pimblett
23-4 · Orthodox
vs
Jared Gordon
21-9 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Paddy Pimblett def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
68"
31
Age
37
5.49
SLpM
5.57
52%
Str. Acc.
53%
3.89
SApM
4.11
42%
Str. Def.
55%
0.69
TD Avg.
1.91
44%
TD Def.
60%
1.20
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Paddy Pimblett
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Paddy Pimblett
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Paddy Pimblett
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Paddy Pimblett finishes 63% · finished 0% (8 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 86% (6-1)
When younger than opponent 83% (5-1)
Jared Gordon finishes 18% · finished 27% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 75% (6-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.