predicted sports
← UFC 282
Jan Blachowicz
29-11-2 · Orthodox
vs
Magomed Ankalaev
21-2-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Light Heavyweight · Title
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
75"
43
Age
34
3.55
SLpM
3.65
50%
Str. Acc.
52%
3.14
SApM
2.59
52%
Str. Def.
56%
0.98
TD Avg.
0.79
69%
TD Def.
87%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Magomed Ankalaev
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Jan Blachowicz
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Magomed Ankalaev
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Jan Blachowicz finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
In 5-round fights 75% (3-1)
In title fights 67% (2-1)
When older than opponent 60% (3-2)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Magomed Ankalaev finishes 33% · finished 11% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 88% (7-1)
Vs orthodox 88% (7-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.