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Lightweight
Result
Clay Guida def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
69"
44
Age
42
2.63
SLpM
4.32
33%
Str. Acc.
47%
3.00
SApM
3.66
61%
Str. Def.
55%
3.10
TD Avg.
1.88
66%
TD Def.
67%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.20
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Scott Holtzman
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Clay Guida
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Clay Guida
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Clay Guida
finishes 13% · finished 25% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite
50%
(2-2)
Vs orthodox
50%
(2-2)
With a reach advantage
50%
(1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage
50%
(2-2)
Scott Holtzman
finishes 0% · finished 67% (3 fights)
When older than opponent
0%
(0-2)
As the rating underdog
0%
(0-3)
Vs southpaws
0%
(0-2)
Giving up reach
0%
(0-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.