predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Sergei Pavlovich
21-3 · Southpaw
vs
Tai Tuivasa
15-10 · Southpaw
Heavyweight
Result
Sergei Pavlovich def.
KO/TKO · R1 0:54
Tale of the Tape
84"
Reach
75"
34
Age
33
4.49
SLpM
3.37
44%
Str. Acc.
48%
3.58
SApM
4.61
56%
Str. Def.
42%
0.47
TD Avg.
0.00
75%
TD Def.
58%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Tai Tuivasa
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Sergei Pavlovich
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Sergei Pavlovich
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Sergei Pavlovich finishes 56% · finished 11% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 78% (7-2)
As the rating favorite 75% (6-2)
Vs orthodox 75% (6-2)
Tai Tuivasa finishes 42% · finished 33% (12 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (4-2)
When younger than opponent 50% (5-5)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 45% (5-6)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.