predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Matheus Nicolau
19-6-1 · Orthodox
vs
Matt Schnell
17-11 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Flyweight
Result
Matheus Nicolau def.
KO/TKO · R2 1:44
Tale of the Tape
66"
Reach
70"
33
Age
36
3.31
SLpM
4.05
51%
Str. Acc.
40%
2.98
SApM
4.18
65%
Str. Def.
54%
1.22
TD Avg.
0.59
90%
TD Def.
43%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
1.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Matheus Nicolau
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Matt Schnell
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Matheus Nicolau
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Matheus Nicolau finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Vs southpaws 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
Matt Schnell finishes 11% · finished 67% (9 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 40% (2-3)
Vs southpaws 33% (1-2)
As the rating underdog 29% (2-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.