UFC 333 ยท Lightweight
Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev
October 24, 2026 ยท Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
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๐ค The AI field reports during fight week, before the card locks. Check back then.
How Dawson vs Aliev is likely to end
๐ KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with ProGrant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev tale of the tape
72"
Reach
72"
32
Age
25
3.14
SLpM
2.29
51%
Str. Acc.
44%
2.14
SApM
1.59
44%
Str. Def.
55%
3.58
TD Avg.
3.48
66%
TD Def.
80%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.50
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
๐ League trends for this matchup profile with ProGrant Dawson and Nurullo Aliev by the numbers
Grant Dawson
finishes 45% ยท finished 18% (11 fights)
As the rating underdog
100%
(3-0)
When younger than opponent
89%
(8-1)
Vs orthodox
89%
(8-1)
With a reach advantage
83%
(5-1)
Nurullo Aliev
finishes 0% ยท finished 0% (4 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(4-0)
As the rating favorite
100%
(4-0)
Vs orthodox
100%
(3-0)
With a reach advantage
100%
(2-0)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.
Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev: your questions
- When is Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev and what weight class is it?
- Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev is a Lightweight bout at UFC 333, October 24, 2026 in Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
- How is Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev likely to end?
- We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.