predicted sports
← UFC 281
Ryan Spann
24-11 · Orthodox
vs
Dominick Reyes
16-5 · Southpaw
Light Heavyweight
Result
Ryan Spann def.
KO/TKO · R1 1:20
Tale of the Tape
79"
Reach
77"
34
Age
36
3.11
SLpM
4.99
39%
Str. Acc.
53%
3.92
SApM
3.40
43%
Str. Def.
49%
1.21
TD Avg.
0.25
59%
TD Def.
82%
1.70
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Ryan Spann
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Ryan Spann
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Dominick Reyes
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
By the Numbers
Ryan Spann finishes 50% · finished 42% (12 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 71% (5-2)
When younger than opponent 67% (4-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (5-5)
Dominick Reyes finishes 38% · finished 50% (8 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (4-4)
Vs orthodox 50% (4-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.