predicted sports
← UFC 281
Renato Moicano
21-7-1 · Orthodox
vs
Brad Riddell
10-4 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Renato Moicano def.
SUB · R1 3:20
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
71"
37
Age
34
4.10
SLpM
4.71
49%
Str. Acc.
53%
3.55
SApM
3.53
59%
Str. Def.
53%
1.68
TD Avg.
1.77
64%
TD Def.
63%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Brad Riddell
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Renato Moicano
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Renato Moicano
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Renato Moicano finishes 55% · finished 18% (11 fights)
Vs orthodox 100% (4-0)
Giving up reach 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
When older than opponent 71% (5-2)
Brad Riddell finishes 0% · finished 60% (5 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (1-1)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
When older than opponent 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.