← UFC 281
Lightweight
Result
Dustin Poirier def.
SUB · R3 2:00
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
71"
37
Age
40
5.24
SLpM
3.91
50%
Str. Acc.
49%
4.57
SApM
4.51
52%
Str. Def.
43%
1.15
TD Avg.
1.88
64%
TD Def.
61%
1.20
Sub. Avg.
0.50
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Dustin Poirier
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Dustin Poirier
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Dustin Poirier
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Dustin Poirier
finishes 44% · finished 33% (9 fights)
Giving up reach
80%
(4-1)
When younger than opponent
75%
(3-1)
As the rating favorite
75%
(3-1)
Vs southpaws
75%
(3-1)
Michael Chandler
finishes 25% · finished 50% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite
50%
(1-1)
Giving up reach
29%
(2-5)
As the rating underdog
17%
(1-5)
Vs orthodox
17%
(1-5)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.