predicted sports
← UFC 281
Zhang Weili
26-4 · Switch
vs
Carla Esparza
20-8 · Orthodox
Women's Strawweight · Title
Result
Zhang Weili def.
SUB · R2 1:05
Tale of the Tape
63"
Reach
63"
36
Age
38
4.66
SLpM
2.19
52%
Str. Acc.
39%
2.63
SApM
2.87
53%
Str. Def.
54%
1.96
TD Avg.
3.28
63%
TD Def.
47%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Women's Strawweight
202 fights · edge Zhang Weili
54%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Strawweight
181 fights · edge Zhang Weili
36%
of Women's Strawweight fights end inside the distance
202 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Zhang Weili finishes 25% · finished 13% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
Vs southpaws 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 60% (3-2)
Carla Esparza finishes 20% · finished 20% (5 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 75% (3-1)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.