predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jake Hadley
11-4 · Southpaw
vs
Carlos Candelario
8-3 · Southpaw
Flyweight · APEX cage
Result
Jake Hadley def.
SUB · R2 2:39
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
68"
29
Age
35
3.80
SLpM
3.97
43%
Str. Acc.
46%
4.16
SApM
5.17
61%
Str. Def.
44%
0.33
TD Avg.
2.28
54%
TD Def.
53%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Jake Hadley
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Jake Hadley
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Jake Hadley
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Jake Hadley finishes 29% · finished 0% (7 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 50% (3-3)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 40% (2-3)
Carlos Candelario finishes 0% · finished 50% (2 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-2)
Giving up reach 0% (0-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.