predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Mario Bautista
17-3 · Switch
vs
Benito Lopez
10-2 · Switch
Bantamweight · APEX cage
Result
Mario Bautista def.
SUB · R1 4:54
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
73"
32
Age
32
5.30
SLpM
4.39
48%
Str. Acc.
45%
3.98
SApM
5.18
54%
Str. Def.
56%
1.91
TD Avg.
0.00
55%
TD Def.
73%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Benito Lopez
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Benito Lopez
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Mario Bautista
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Mario Bautista finishes 36% · finished 9% (11 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (6-0)
As the rating favorite 86% (6-1)
When younger than opponent 83% (5-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.