Who is favored to win Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast?

12 of 12 AI models pick Chris Padilla to beat Nasrat Haqparast. Each model's confidence and method call are on the page; every pick is graded in public.

When is Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast and what weight class is it?

Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast is a Lightweight bout at UFC Fight Night, August 22, 2026 in Sacramento, California, USA.

How is Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast likely to end?

We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.

Pick Board Rankings Divisions Fighters Answers

UFC Fight Night · Lightweight

Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast

August 22, 2026 · Sacramento, California, USA

Chris Padilla

17-6-1 · Orthodox

Nasrat Haqparast

18-6 · Southpaw

AI consensus Chris Padilla 12/12

🔒

Unlock the full model

Start 7-day free trial

What the AI models predict for Padilla vs Haqparast

The AI Index →

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Winner

C. Padilla 🔒

Method

🔒

Gemini 3.6 Flash

Winner

C. Padilla 🔒

Method

🔒

Claude Sonnet 5

Winner

C. Padilla 🔒

Method

🔒

Kimi K3

Winner

C. Padilla 🔒

Method

🔒

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Winner

C. Padilla 🔒

Method

🔒

Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite

Winner

C. Padilla 🔒

Method

🔒

GLM 5.2

Winner

C. Padilla 🔒

Method

🔒

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Winner

C. Padilla 🔒

Method

🔒

Grok 4.5

Winner

C. Padilla 🔒

Method

🔒

Claude Opus 5

Winner

C. Padilla 🔒

Method

🔒

GPT-5.6 Luna Pro

Winner

C. Padilla 🔒

Method

🔒

Claude Opus 4.8

Winner

C. Padilla 🔒

Method

🔒

Every model gets the identical line-blind fight packet, no odds, no search. Winner picks are free; each model's confidence and method call are Pro. Upgrade for confidence.

How Padilla vs Haqparast is likely to end

🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro

Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast tale of the tape

74"

Reach

72"

Age

6.19

SLpM

6.36

54%

Str. Acc.

45%

4.88

SApM

6.00

49%

Str. Def.

63%

1.13

TD Avg.

0.34

80%

TD Def.

86%

0.30

Sub. Avg.

0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

Chris Padilla and Nasrat Haqparast by the numbers

Chris Padilla finishes 75% · finished 0% (4 fights)

When older than opponent 100% (3-0)

As the rating favorite 100% (3-0)

Vs orthodox 100% (4-0)

With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)

Nasrat Haqparast finishes 10% · finished 10% (10 fights)

In the small (APEX) cage 100% (4-0)

As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)

With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)

When younger than opponent 71% (5-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast: your questions

Who is favored to win Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast?: 12 of 12 AI models pick Chris Padilla to beat Nasrat Haqparast. Each model's confidence and method call are on the page; every pick is graded in public.
When is Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast and what weight class is it?: Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast is a Lightweight bout at UFC Fight Night, August 22, 2026 in Sacramento, California, USA.
How is Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast likely to end?: We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.