UFC Fight Night ยท Lightweight
MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones
August 22, 2026 ยท Sacramento, California, USA
AI consensus
Mason Jones
10/12
๐
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Start 7-day free trialWhat the AI models predict for Mederos vs Jones
The AI Index โ
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Winner
M. Jones ๐
Method
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Gemini 3.5 Flash
Winner
M. Jones ๐
Method
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Gemini 3.6 Flash
Winner
M. Jones ๐
Method
๐
Gemini 3.7 Flash
Winner
M. Jones ๐
Method
๐
Grok 4.5
Winner
M. Jones ๐
Method
๐
Claude Opus 5
Winner
M. Jones ๐
Method
๐
Gemini 3.5 Flash Lite
Winner
M. Mederos ๐
Method
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Kimi K3
Winner
M. Jones ๐
Method
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Claude Opus 4.8
Winner
M. Jones ๐
Method
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GPT-5.6 Luna Pro
Winner
M. Jones ๐
Method
๐
Claude Sonnet 5
Winner
M. Mederos ๐
Method
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GLM 5.2
Winner
M. Jones ๐
Method
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Every model gets the identical line-blind fight packet, no odds, no search. Winner picks are free; each model's confidence and method call are Pro. Upgrade for confidence.
How Mederos vs Jones is likely to end
๐ KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with ProMarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones tale of the tape
69"
Reach
74"
29
Age
31
5.46
SLpM
5.98
58%
Str. Acc.
42%
4.58
SApM
4.45
52%
Str. Def.
50%
0.23
TD Avg.
3.48
82%
TD Def.
73%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.20
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
๐ League trends for this matchup profile with ProMarQuel Mederos and Mason Jones by the numbers
MarQuel Mederos
finishes 0% ยท finished 0% (3 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(3-0)
As the rating favorite
100%
(3-0)
Vs orthodox
100%
(2-0)
Giving up reach
100%
(2-0)
Mason Jones
finishes 17% ยท finished 0% (6 fights)
When older than opponent
100%
(2-0)
As the rating underdog
75%
(3-1)
Vs orthodox
75%
(3-1)
When younger than opponent
50%
(2-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.
MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones: your questions
- Who is favored to win MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones?
- 10 of 12 AI models pick Mason Jones to beat MarQuel Mederos. Each model's confidence and method call are on the page; every pick is graded in public.
- When is MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones and what weight class is it?
- MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones is a Lightweight bout at UFC Fight Night, August 22, 2026 in Sacramento, California, USA.
- How is MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones likely to end?
- We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.