predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Neil Magny
31-15 · Orthodox
vs
Daniel Rodriguez
20-5 · Southpaw
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
Neil Magny def.
SUB · R3 3:33
Tale of the Tape
80"
Reach
74"
38
Age
39
3.40
SLpM
7.20
46%
Str. Acc.
49%
2.44
SApM
5.40
51%
Str. Def.
57%
2.17
TD Avg.
0.51
55%
TD Def.
64%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Neil Magny
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Neil Magny
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Daniel Rodriguez
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Neil Magny finishes 27% · finished 33% (15 fights)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (6-4)
Vs orthodox 50% (5-5)
Daniel Rodriguez finishes 25% · finished 17% (12 fights)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.