predicted sports
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Marcos Rogerio de Lima
22-10-1 · Orthodox
vs
Andrei Arlovski
34-24 (2 NC) · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Marcos Rogerio de Lima def.
SUB · R1 1:50
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
77"
41
Age
47
3.70
SLpM
3.82
57%
Str. Acc.
45%
2.90
SApM
3.22
51%
Str. Def.
57%
1.40
TD Avg.
0.37
59%
TD Def.
76%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Marcos Rogerio de Lima
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Andrei Arlovski
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Marcos Rogerio de Lima
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Marcos Rogerio de Lima finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
Vs orthodox 83% (5-1)
As the rating underdog 80% (4-1)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 80% (4-1)
Andrei Arlovski finishes 0% · finished 30% (10 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (4-2)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
When older than opponent 50% (5-5)
Vs orthodox 50% (5-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.