predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Ed Herman
27-16 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Mike Rodriguez
11-7 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Light Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Ed Herman def.
SUB · R3 2:41
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
82"
45
Age
37
3.31
SLpM
4.35
48%
Str. Acc.
53%
3.71
SApM
4.24
42%
Str. Def.
41%
1.96
TD Avg.
0.00
59%
TD Def.
37%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Mike Rodriguez
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Mike Rodriguez
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Ed Herman
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Ed Herman finishes 33% · finished 33% (3 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
When older than opponent 33% (1-2)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-2)
Mike Rodriguez finishes 25% · finished 50% (4 fights)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 25% (1-3)
With a reach advantage 25% (1-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.