predicted sports
← UFC 280
Muhammad Mokaev
13-0 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Malcolm Gordon
14-8 · Switch
Flyweight
Result
Muhammad Mokaev def.
SUB · R3 4:26
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
71"
25
Age
36
1.61
SLpM
2.50
45%
Str. Acc.
45%
1.35
SApM
2.00
57%
Str. Def.
43%
5.29
TD Avg.
1.72
25%
TD Def.
26%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
1.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Muhammad Mokaev
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Malcolm Gordon
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Muhammad Mokaev
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Muhammad Mokaev finishes 57% · finished 0% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (7-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (7-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (3-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (2-0)
Malcolm Gordon finishes 14% · finished 71% (7 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 40% (2-3)
Vs southpaws 33% (1-2)
With a reach advantage 33% (2-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.