predicted sports
← UFC 280
Beneil Dariush
23-8-1 · Southpaw
vs
Mateusz Gamrot
26-4 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Lightweight
Result
Beneil Dariush def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
70"
37
Age
35
3.74
SLpM
3.21
49%
Str. Acc.
51%
2.63
SApM
2.81
57%
Str. Def.
60%
2.21
TD Avg.
5.22
82%
TD Def.
83%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Mateusz Gamrot
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Beneil Dariush
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Mateusz Gamrot
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Beneil Dariush finishes 11% · finished 44% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
Mateusz Gamrot finishes 38% · finished 8% (13 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (6-0)
When older than opponent 83% (5-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.